Playoff Chances With Or Without A Win
November 28th, 2024
The PFF tribe speaks.
Hey, you may have heard, the Bucs can’t afford to lose more than one game the rest of the way to play meaningful football in mid-January.
So what are the Bucs’ chances with a win or a loss? Joe has that intel courtesy of the PFF tribe.
Everybody and their brother seems to have a different calculation on the Bucs’ percentages of pulling off this feat: making the playoffs for the fifth straight season.
So why not consult with the inventors of the game of football, the PFF tribe. Don’t think they know more than Bill Belichick, Andy Reid, Mike Tomlin or Bucs AC/DC-loving general manager Jason Licht? Well, just ask the tribe.
With a win Sunday over the Stinking Panthers, the Bucs, per numbers cruncher Timo Riske, have a 57 percent shot of making the playoffs.
But if the Bucs lose? Yikes. That percentage drops to 21 percent. No other NFC team has a postseason percentage swing that wide riding this weekend.
The Bucs have no business looking ahead. At all. Todd Bowles said yesterday the Bucs are already in the playoffs in the sense they cannot afford a loss.
Joe guesses most folks don’t like the Bucs’ chances of traveling to the City of Angels and beating Jim Harbaugh and the Chargers. So the other remaining five games are must-wins.
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November 28th, 2024 at 9:13 am
No way the Bucs are making the playoffs this season……they barely made the Playoffs last year with a losing record and they were for the most part healthy heading into December.
Let’s just be honest here Joe
November 28th, 2024 at 9:14 am
“With a win Sunday over the Stinking Panthers…D@mn Joe…i wish you hadn’t said that. In Japan they call that Bachi = “divine punishment” or “supernatural retribution” that results from one’s bad actions”
November 28th, 2024 at 9:17 am
My calculations say 10-7 gets us in,,, 9-8 will come down to multiple tie breaker scenarios ,, most importantly NFC record ,, so obviously that 9-8 ,,, 10-7 would come down to WHO we lose to,, The Charger game would be one that is the least damaging but , I would advise against losing this weekend,, One game at a time ,, Get this one then look to next week
November 28th, 2024 at 9:22 am
Anthem, you bad at math bro. They finished the season 9-8. After the playoffs their record was 10-9. You need to improve your trolling skills dumb$&@!
November 28th, 2024 at 9:26 am
I like Bowles’ perspective, the Bucs are in the playoffs now in the sense that if they lose, their season is likely over. Just Win Baby!
A lot of the top NFC teams have challenging schedules – the NFC North has a lot of divisional games coming up so the Vikings, Packers, and Lions are likely to have some loses.
Ultimately, the Bucs need to win out, tough, but do-able with complementary football. LFG!
November 28th, 2024 at 9:46 am
JimBobBuc: Did you like Bowles perspective in the 2 games vs. Atlanta, too? Where Bowles made Kirk Cousins look like Joe Montana and Tom Brady in their prime? The whole “yeah, but guys were injured” excuse doesn’t hold any water when other teams have injuries, too. The stats of Cousins vs. the Bucs and him vs. the rest of the league shows that Bowles doesn’t know what he’s doing. Those were the games where they needed to “Just Win, Baby”, they handed the division over to the Falcons.
November 28th, 2024 at 9:52 am
The Panthers can’t pressure the QB. Bucs o line talent is above average collectively and their blocking scheme is excellent. Bucs probably roll on Sunday. Bucs 27 Panthers 13.
November 28th, 2024 at 10:02 am
The Bucs have played everyone tough despite injuries and are toughened up for the stretch. A lot depends on the Falcons and whether Rah Rah can right the ship but I like the Bucs chances quite a bit.
November 28th, 2024 at 10:03 am
Todd Bowles had this exact same opportunity last year same cupcake schedule. Almost won 7 straight but dropped that second to last game to the saints. So I expect him to get completely out coached by harbaugh and lose to the chargers. It’s unrealistic to think all the wildcard teams with better records and the falcons are just going to keep losing games. It will come down to the wire though so enjoy the chase but at minimum he loses one game.
November 28th, 2024 at 10:22 am
Bucs will beat the Panthers 33 – 24
November 28th, 2024 at 10:37 am
They are only 1 game behind Atlanta.
Root for wins from Tampa, and losses from Atlanta.
November 28th, 2024 at 10:43 am
I really this website.
I have been lurking on this site forever and I can always tell the difference between the new posters and the delusional ones or maybe they’re the combination of both.
Then there’s me and the rest who’s seen this Bucs Sheit show every season where we see another Bucs team start sheiting themselves around December because the keep on losing games and lead the hopeless bucs fans on thinking maybe they have a shot at the playoffs….
Sorry, but they don’t……this year is one of the worst years I’ve seen a Bucs team have inregards to impact players being injured.
Seriously, us older longtime Bucs fans are so used to the “Late season winter collapse” that’s it’s become routine thinking in our minds.
Just stop already
November 28th, 2024 at 10:47 am
Bucs are highly favored over Carolina. Defense continues to improve. Offense is consistently one of the best in the NFL .
Playing really good teams in the past will help us down this stretch !! As long as Baker stays healthy, we have a great chance of winning out 11-6 !!
Winning out is going to be hard work, but I believe the Bucs are up to the task. Coach Bowles still has the team. They believe in his concept, that’s half the battle won.
Beat the Panthers
Go Bucs !!
November 28th, 2024 at 10:59 am
It’s amazing the difference one game makes. We finally stop the bleeding and everyone is talking about winning 7 straight. What about this team makes you think that? I get hanging on to hope, but let’s be realistic. Chargers, Cowboys and Saints will all be hard wins.
The Falcons losing is the only hope we have.
We will NOT get a wildcard at 9-8 this year.
Let’s just beat the Panthers.
November 28th, 2024 at 11:15 am
Shake&Baker Says:
November 28th, 2024 at 9:22 am
Anthem, you bad at math bro. They finished the season 9-8. After the playoffs their record was 10-9. You need to improve your trolling skills dumb$&@!
====================================
S&B,
Anthem is pretty typical of a majority of bloggers here. Often wrong but never in doubt.
November 28th, 2024 at 11:16 am
If the bucs lose to the Panthers, i would put playoff chances at 0%. What would that say about the chances they get thru the rest of the season without a loss?
November 28th, 2024 at 11:47 am
Playoffs? You Kiddin Me? The only playoffs this team is going to be a part of is with us fans..Sittin at home on the couch wolfing down wings, fries, and guzzlin Suds. And watching other NFl teams compete. Don’t be so quick pronouncing a Panthers victory this Sunday either. The Panthers are a much-improved team since season start. Out Bucs might be in for a Surprise.
November 28th, 2024 at 12:35 pm
Forget the playoffs. Even if we got in, we don’t have the defense needed to advance very far. Feed Mike the ball and maintain the streak. Use these games to build for 2025. Go for two every TD instead of kicking the extra point. Have some fun like it’s sandlot football. Get everybody involved.
November 28th, 2024 at 12:57 pm
Can’t win in San Diego. We won in Detroit and when needed it last year in Green Bay. Who have the Chargers beaten?
November 28th, 2024 at 1:01 pm
Falcons still have Chargers,Vikings, and Commanders…lose two of those, and the Bucs look good.
November 28th, 2024 at 1:58 pm
Todd should have 1sparkybuc or Mike Johnson come in to do a pregame pep talk. 🤣
I mean that’s the kind of winning attitude and belief that fuels success, right? Smh
November 28th, 2024 at 2:43 pm
Yeah
Dumb Bucs Fans thinking the Panthers are thr same team from last year………NO THEY’RE NOT!
The Panthers are much improved this year……..so a win isn’t a given.
But you patsy delusional Bucs fans, keep on thinking that
November 28th, 2024 at 3:10 pm
TheBucsAnthem Says:
“…seen this Bucs Sheit show every season where we see another Bucs team start sheiting themselves… ”
Only team in our division with TWO SUPERBOWL RINGS in this century.