NFL.com: Bucs’ Playoff Probability Is 33 Percent
November 11th, 2024
So you’re telling me there’s a chance!
Joe’s hearing the famous Dumb And Dumber line echoing through the beer-stained halls of JoeBucsFan.com world headquarters.
The Bucs are reeling on a four-game losing streak and the defense is struggling to look professional.
At 4-6, the Bucs are what their record says they are. But the great news is the same axiom applies their opponents!!! And the Bucs only have one opponent out of seven remaining that currently has more than three wins.
The data nerds at NFL.com claim the Bucs have a 33 percent chance to make the postseason, via wild card or division title.
Bucs fans that have yet to smash everything in their homes and are dialed into the playoff chase might want to watch tonight’s Monday Night Football game.
It’s the Dolphins against the Rams (4-4) and NFL.com says the Rams will have a 26 percent shot at the NFC playoffs if they win tonight, or a 12 percent chance if they lose.
ESPN says the Bucs have a 22 percent shot at the postseason and the New York Times model puts Tampa Bay at 15 percent.
All this data crunching is hilarious. It reminds Joe of how some people believe election exit-poll data is accurate.
Regardless, this is just a fun math exercise. None of this gets real unless the Bucs win their next three games — against the brutal Giants (2-8), the weak Panthers (3-7) and the bumbling Raiders (2-7).
At 7-6, the Bucs would be a true contender for the postseason.
November 11th, 2024 at 2:05 pm
Now what is the probability of Coach Bowles been fire right now?
We need to make a statement. The season is already lost.
November 11th, 2024 at 2:07 pm
so the team gets ride of DW…who really seemed to suck…and was maybe causing locker room issues…
and now when he’s gone the defense mysteriously, completely sucks…
tell me i’m wrong………..it’s the weirdest thing…
the D totally stinks with DW gone……and by no means am i saying we need or want him back…
just saying the D bottomed out basically after his departure…
any theories ??
November 11th, 2024 at 2:10 pm
only chance bowles get’s dismissed this season would be like tomorow morning…
first work day, and into our bye week, because the team would have extended time to adjust to the shift…
otherwise…
he will not be fired until after the season…
or not fired at all
November 11th, 2024 at 2:18 pm
They will likely have to win out. One loss tops. The only hard game should be the Chargers game, but with the way the defense is playing, and the injuries are stacking up, suddenly every game has become difficult.
November 11th, 2024 at 2:21 pm
In 3 weeks, lets check the number when were 7-6
November 11th, 2024 at 2:22 pm
If the Falcons are low key bad, they should lose their next 3. Or at least 2 and trip up somewhere else like the commanders or a random game.
So there’s your division opportunity, regroup and win out. You’re not battered against the Ravens, Chiefs, and 9ers off a bye anymore.
November 11th, 2024 at 2:23 pm
The playoff win saved the HC job last year, I do not believe just eeking their way into the playoffs is going to be enough.
I doubt the Glazers will have the patience with a win and then knocked out of the playoffs.
The HC is holding the talent on this team back and as much as we love Father Dungy the Glazers pulled the chord and fired him for Gruden.
We do not have the same team, but it sure feels like this could be their move.
The biggest question who is the Next John Gruden?
November 11th, 2024 at 2:42 pm
33% seems high.
November 11th, 2024 at 2:43 pm
Fire Todd 🔥
November 11th, 2024 at 2:45 pm
so, overall, we are 1 play away, from winning those loses, to some pretty good teams. Baker has been outstanding, and even losing evans/godwin, we are close every game. That includes the defense. thinking TB, has been hamstringing the defense, to keep healthy. via design. Bye week is perfect, to get every1 recovered. playoff chance 100%. Division, maybe 80%,
November 11th, 2024 at 2:55 pm
With all the injuries to key players it could be a perfect time at the end season to move on to a new coach. Be the first team to make that decision so the team can have first choice at a new coach.
Maybe a Coach that coached Brady for many years?
November 11th, 2024 at 2:56 pm
Really hoping the next Gruden isn’t the real Gruden. I’m sorry but really don’t think the Gruden years were all that great. If those years are what we consider successful then we have larger problems as an organization.
If I’m not mistaken, Gruden got us a Super Bowl win and 2 losses in the wildcard. On par with what Bowles has done since he entered our organization in 2019…. Unless of course we finish 4-12 with Bowles
November 11th, 2024 at 3:01 pm
33% chance Bowels retains his job plz
November 11th, 2024 at 3:10 pm
So much of winning is injuries and replacement depth. After last years bye the Bucs regressed. Hopefully the players learned a lesson but I doubt Bowles has.
November 11th, 2024 at 3:13 pm
33% playoff probability is a bit high don’t you think? The Bucs are well positioned to be tied with Carolina and New Orleans for wins next Sunday in the standings.
November 11th, 2024 at 3:18 pm
Also, any comment from Joe on C. Davis lights out game last night? Two interceptions would be nice right about now.
November 11th, 2024 at 3:39 pm
first win 1 game….
5 out of 6 losses while the 1 win was against a team that was horrific and got utterly destroyed despite racking up 3 interceptions doesn’t bode well for anticipating any success even against a terrible team
how is this team any better than NY, Carolina, or Vegas
But yes, love the optimism — let’s see some meaningful stops on 3rd down and the optimism can build
November 11th, 2024 at 3:43 pm
33% sounds pretty good. Remaining optimistic in thinking the Bucs could very well do it all.
Guy in the Stands – It was Malcolm Glazer, the father, who fired Coach Dungy and then fired Gruden too. The sons seem to handle things differently. But you never know. You could be right and they let Coach Bowles go at the end of the season with or without winning.
November 11th, 2024 at 4:00 pm
I been sayin it……lol
let mike walk….and todd
November 11th, 2024 at 4:01 pm
Almost.
Take that calculation, divide by 10.
Then subtract 3.
The late great John McKay said it best, “Couple of plane crashes and we’re in the playoffs.”
November 11th, 2024 at 5:08 pm
33% is pretty optimistic given all the injuries and a defense
That can t get out of its own way.
November 11th, 2024 at 5:11 pm
What are the odds of seeing D.Jones have a great game that will make him look like a Pro Bowler. Higher or lower than 33 percent ?
Go Bucs
November 11th, 2024 at 5:48 pm
Dave Pear Says:
OMG!
I almost spit out my bespoke craft guacamole…
November 11th, 2024 at 5:49 pm
Xristos Says:
Or Young finally finding his NFL Mojo…
November 11th, 2024 at 6:00 pm
More lipstick! For this Pig
November 11th, 2024 at 9:16 pm
Lovie would look better with lipstick, that’s true. But it wouldn’t help the worst head coach in the league and his even worse defensive coordinator stop the losing. Waste of good lipstick I say.
November 11th, 2024 at 10:57 pm
Pretty sure they left the decimal out. 3.3% is the reality. They finish 8-9.
November 11th, 2024 at 11:35 pm
Nope.
Lions
Vikings
Commanders
Eagles
Falcons
Cardinals
7th seed between Packers and Niners.
Vegas was right. Apparently they can predict injuries.