Playoffs May Hinge On Sunday’s Outcome?

November 7th, 2024

Bucs coach Todd Bowles.

There is a split point of view of the Bucs and the playoffs at JoeBucsFan.com world headquarters. And it has nothing to do with pineapple on pizza.

One Joe thinks the Bucs schedule after the bye is so cotton soft that double-digit wins for the Bucs isn’t off the table. The other Joe scoffs at this thinking unless something drastic happens with this defense; it’s just a matter of time before this porous defense gives up the farm.

The Bucs have lost four of their last five games. And two were winnable with just a little bit of forward-thinking — and both came in overtime on the road.

If you believe in the calculators owned by the PFF tribe, Sunday’s game against the 49ers could very well be pivotal in the Bucs’ quest for a playoff berth.

The tribe believes the Bucs currently have a 33 percent shot at the playoffs without specifying division title or wild card berth.

If the Bucs beat the 49ers Sunday, that playoff percentage spikes to a 54 percent shot of playing meaningful football in January.

If the Bucs lose? That percentage drops to 22 percent.

So yeah, the season very well could ride of beating the physical and rested 49ers (they are coming off a bye) who might be getting Christian McCaffrey back.

Oh, goody!

33 Responses to “Playoffs May Hinge On Sunday’s Outcome?”

  1. Steven #55 Says:

    If we lose Sunday its all but over – soft schedule after the bye but we’d have to win them all with no margin for error which unfortunately with our defense just doesnt seem possible

  2. Permanently Moderated Says:

    If it comes down to a decision by Todd, they will lose. He’s gutless and has no real faith in his offense and continues to be delusional about his defense.

  3. OHBucFan Says:

    49er fans are in the same boat. Neither fan base can believe that their teams are where they’re at.
    Got to win this week. Cardinals and Green Bay are shams. SMH at the Falcons.

  4. Lt. Dan Says:

    “Forward thinking” is clearly not in Coach Bowles wheelhouse. Nor is “defensive genius.” You’ve got the Chiefs at home on the ropes. Two point conversation probably puts the game away. It’s raining and the field is wet. Advantage offense – no? Toss sweep behind Wirfs to Bucky. He makes people miss on the regular – right? Nah…let’s see what Mahomes can do against this D in OT. Brilliant Coach.

  5. Xristos Says:

    I am less worried about McCaffrey and the really good running game of the 49ers than what Purdy can possibly do to our soft zones in the middle of the field.
    Hope i m wrong but we see this over and over again. Mahomes in the worst form of his life with 8-9 TDs/INTs before us had his best game of the year. Almost every QB does.
    Go Bucs

  6. Allbuccedup Says:

    With an average defense we would smoke the niners unfortunately we have a well below average defense. Offense shows up defense doesn’t!!!!

  7. Gipper Says:

    Playoffs are just something to talk about. With this defense, Bucs are not going anywhere even if they miraculously make playoffs. The entire league has seen how open the middle of the field is. That is not going to change until Licht drafts some defensive help. Would like to see more of Braswell.

  8. gp Says:

    According to that graph, if I’m reading it right, there are currently 4 teams ahead of us in the wildcard chase. One loss might make that 5.
    I don’t think we have room for another loss this season.
    IF we want to sniff the playoffs.

  9. Tampabaybucfan Says:

    Soft schedule doesn’t guarantee wins…..TBBF is not optimistic……

  10. First Name Greatest Says:

    Soft schedule with a soft, passive, conservative, sleepy, tired head coach does not guarantee wins.

    Bucs will finish with 7 wins max

  11. Bucsfan Says:

    Bucs have 8 games left and likely need to win 6 of 8 to get 10 wins . 10 wins will get you in the playoffs and anything is possible after that.

  12. Bosch Says:

    Both Joes are wrong. Double digit wins ain’t gonna happen and the defense has already given up the farm. Bowels has lost the defense.. it is 2011 Raheem Morris all aver again.

  13. Pelsbuc61 Says:

    Playoff talk is a fantasy with this HC and his horrible defense. Bucs would be better off playing their young players as an audition for next year and the new HC.

  14. Bobby M. Says:

    Potentially one step closer to dumping Bowles and promoting the OC. Bowles feels it, he knows he’s got deliver at a minimum, a first rd playoff win. Even then I think ownership recognizes he’s hit his ceiling. The game is geared for offense and we clearly got a good OC that we can’t lose.

  15. Bojim Says:

    If they lose Sunday I don’t think they can run the table like last year after the bye.

  16. Bojim Says:

    But I’ll happily be wrong.

  17. Jeff Says:

    Playoffs! lol! Nope. Time to fire clueless Todd.

  18. Ol' Boy Says:

    Stranger things have happened I suppose but It was over after Atlanta x2.. it wasn’t necessarily the score (although..), it was the blunders of bowles which continue and will continue. It was the defense which hasnt changed, at all, with the same personnel after the trade deadline. We might see a second year guy make a showing if he gets up to speed and that’s it, right? During defensive meetings, I can’t help but wonder, who’s the smartest person in the room? Because that mind will need to come up with a new brilliant way to defend to have a chance. Winning 6?… Pass that shiz
    I love our offense though. It feels good watching good offensive football and knowing it’s from the Bucs.

  19. Ds Says:

    Doesn’t matter, no edge rush and soft zone makes a the playoffs a pipe dream

  20. Cobraboy Says:

    It’s a sad day when a game in the first half of the season is do-or-die for the playoffs.

  21. D-Rome Says:

    The season was over when the team lost to the Falcons a second time. This team has the talent to have a winning record, but the coaching decisions are holding the team back.

  22. Dave Pear Says:

    Cue Jim Mora.

    “Playoffs?!” Etcetera. Another humiliating loss coming for the failed coich and his Cover Who defenseless.

    The only chance is to fire Lovie immediately after the 49ers destroy the Bucs defense, and the shock of that with someone who would move the scheme into the 2010s at least, might be enough to squeak out a winning record. That’s the best upside we’ve got with Catatonic LovieII at the helm, running wide open directly at the iceberg.

  23. adam from ny Says:

    the problem with the soft post bye schedule is this:

    if you remember dungy’s first year, 1996 i think, we were a team in flux and started out like 1-8…and wound up like 6-10ish…so we won a good portion of our 2nd half of the season games to finish out…

    that being said:

    at least a couple of teams who look super soft right now are going to turn a corner at some point in the later half of the season – and have an optimistic finish to the back end of their season…it happens every year…

    so we will be facing a couple teams who just might got 5-2 down the home stretch themselves – while right now they look soft and lost af…

    so it’s just something to consider – because it pans out that way every year…

    a 3-7 team finishes like 8-9 with a good strong finish, and excitement to build on going into the offseason…

    please consider this when reviewing out post bye soft schedule…

    (and also a couple teams who seem to be rolling on all cylinders, get spookily derailed for no apparent reason…i.e. the eagles last year – remember they went from number one to number none, like almost overnight – then we mopped their azzes up in the playoffs)

  24. adam from ny Says:

    ^^^

    a prime example of this potentially could be a minnesota losing their last 4 games of the season

    (if i had to gamble on a team to collapse, minnesota would be one to consider……..or even a green bay potentially)

  25. Let em bake Says:

    The analytics showed 2 points v 1 point attempt were 50/50. The coin toss lost the game, not lack of “forward thinking”.

  26. D Cone Says:

    Bucs loss and ATL Win Sunday means if Falcons finish 3-4 then Bucs have to win out to take the division.

    If Bucs go 6-1 Falcons would have to go 2-5 to lose the Division. Bucs win and saints beat ATL and the door opens somewhat. Otherwise Hope that another team or two Implodes and makes a spot available. NFC North still has a lot of beating up on each other left. Commanders play eagles twice but Both look like they make it in leaving two more spots available.

  27. Bartow Buc Says:

    Joe yes we really need this win ! Here’s why I think the Bucs will win, our offense is still scoring a lot of points, ~33 points per game. 49ers are scoring ~ 31 ppg.

    Chiefs only allowed 18 points from the 49ers. Bucs scored 24 points and we all know they should have score at least 37 points.

    Bucs defense is beginning to play better. If they continue that improvement trend against San Francisco, I am confident we have the edge and should win this home game.

    Go Bus !! L G !!

  28. Mike Johnson Says:

    Playoffs? Please. Cut it out and knock it off. The only playoffs these Bucs are seeing is with us..on the couch drinkin a few cold ones watching other teams in the Playoffs.

  29. Jake been there since the beginning Says:

    I saw something I forgot about, finishing games coming out of Todd Bowles mouth . You my friend are the one that needs to man up and go for two to win. Clock management is another. Sorry but the facts are the facts. Really don’t like what happened to Chris with thirty something seconds left. I do believe he should have been on the sideline at that to live another day. Please now that the season is almost lost do the right thing JL.

  30. richbucsfan Says:

    What you’re saying is if the Bucs lose they are out of the playoff picture? You really think they would win in the playoffs? They have proven they are WAY outclassed by real playoff teams. This season is done. 5-12 at best.

  31. Vancouver Buc Says:

    Mike Johnson speaks the truth

  32. Dave Pear Says:

    The people need to come to grips with a rerun of 2011, except on only one side of the ball. LovieII will find a way to let opponents out score Liam’s offense no matter how many points Liam and Baker conjure. There is a loser in OBP. His stench has wafted over two franchises now, and Jason best offload him before we turn into the Jets long term.

    Embrace 4-13, unless Jason does the bold thing, fires LovieII in the locker room after Lovie’s defense loses yet another game by every means necessary, and appoints Belichick to be special consulting director to the GM and names Liam interim HC.

  33. Deadwood South Dakota Says:

    We have a 500 Coach and regardless of what happens when it comes to crunch time he will make some decision that will cost us. Every season he’s been head coach that’s exactly what has happened. Jamal Dean has the best job in the world plays two games makes a tackle gets injured and then we don’t see him again