Computer Projections: Bucs’ Playoff Chances A Coin Flip
November 20th, 2024
Playoff percentage.
Well, this is something very interesting to Joe.
It appears whoever is programming a piece of software owned by the outfit Pro Football Network either hates the Dixie Chicks or has a very high opinion of the Bucs’ defense.
Why does Joe type that? Because Pro Football Network ran over 10,000 simulations of how the remainder of the schedule shakes out in order to determine each team’s playoff chances.
And the software likes the Bucs’ chances of playing meaningful games in January more than most playoff guesstimates. In fact, Pro Football Network has the Bucs basically as a coin flip to make the playoffs, some 47.4 percent — better than the Dixie Chicks’ at 45.5 percent!
Is that because whoever programmed this software believes the Dixie Chicks will choke like dogs? Does it mean the programmer is related to Todd Bowles?
“This Joe” has to see with his own eyes the Bucs defense play much better before chugging the Kool-Aid. Hopeful, yes, but at the end of the day Joe lives in reality. And the Bucs’ defensive numbers are downright awful.
In half the Bucs losses, opponents scored on the final drive of the game. That is three losses squarely on the defense.
Of course, “this Joe” is more than a wee bit concerned with Bowles’ horrid history of losses coming off a bye week.
Entering Monday Night Football, here are the new playoff chances for every team based on 10,000 simulations run by the Pro Football Network Playoff Predictor ⬇ pic.twitter.com/vZEqrSL0K5
— Pro Football Network (@PFN365) November 18, 2024
November 20th, 2024 at 12:03 am
Sounds about right. This team can beat anybody and can also be beaten by mostly everybody if the defense continues being mediocre at best
November 20th, 2024 at 12:52 am
Bucs and falcons are both likely to lose to the chargers. Falcons could easily lose to Washington, I think the problem in Tampa is no one even mentions the saints as a team Bucs could lose to. I think they both lose two games and Tampa is out this year. We’re no powerhouse so teams like us can have a down year especially with a Todd at head coach
November 20th, 2024 at 1:00 am
If it’s a 32 sided coin and the Bucs with that guy as the leader, and the Bucs get to share a side with the Jags, yeah. Coin flip.
November 20th, 2024 at 1:07 am
“This Joe” feeds us the fuel to demand that “that guy” be thanked for being a good guy, and encouraged to find employment at Temple University, or face the same fate that Raheehaw, Schiamoron, and Lovie all faced.
Koetter gets half a pass because his undoing was his loyalty to Big Head Mike.
Jason knows and will not let that history repeat itself going forward.
November 20th, 2024 at 1:23 am
Right in the middle. Worst place to be in the League.
November 20th, 2024 at 2:26 am
How about the Bucs actually winning a game??
It has been along time. Everything else right now means a hill of beans.
I just want to actually enjoy watching this team win a game right now.
If they can go on a run, then great.
But right now, just not having another football Sunday bummer would be a welcome change.
GO BUCS!!!!
November 20th, 2024 at 3:25 am
How about winning the next 2 games and after that we can talk about possibilities of the playoffs. We always look ahead and dont look what is in front of us. Right now we dont play good football and we dont play Defense at all.
So let use see winning the Giants, let us see winning the Panthers and after that we can talk about scenarios and percentages. I mean when you hear it is kind of ridiculous because its the Giants and the Panthers but we dont exactly look like a team that these games are a win in the bag. That is the truth.
Go Bucs
November 20th, 2024 at 4:35 am
Thank you for the computer projections! The Bucs need to keep moving up. We will be playing the teams on the bottom and should win all those games.
These projections seem correct. They have the Bills and Chiefs on top. I actually thought the Ravens would be next to the Lions. Interesting graph.
November 20th, 2024 at 5:33 am
Bucs have to win and hope Chicks and Stanks lose.
November 20th, 2024 at 7:03 am
When your team is 4-6 any talk of playoffs is just plain dumb.
November 20th, 2024 at 7:36 am
We’ll have a chance when all 5 defensive backfield starters are back
November 20th, 2024 at 7:50 am
Raheem Morris has proved he is capable of losing his team, even after a strong start. Is that beginning to happen? Sure looked like it last two games.