Inside The 30 Club
September 3rd, 2020
“Tommy, brother, we can’t lose.”
One critical statistic should be on the minds of all Bucs fans this morning after Tampa Bay’s collection of running backs talent went from a “C-” to a “B+” overnight.
And it’s especially important since the Bucs secondary is unlikely to scare any defenses.
The Bucs averaged 28.6 points per game last season despite a sad running game and a bad kicker. The offensive production was very impressive.
Consider that through the past 10 NFL seasons, a total of 18 teams have averaged 30 or more points in a season. (Joe’s including two teams that finished with an average of 29.9 points per game).
Here’s the list:
2019 Ravens 33.2, 49ers 29.9
2018 Chiefs 35.3, Rams 32.9, Saints 31.5
2017 Rams 29.9
2016 Falcons 33.8
2015 Panthers 31.3, Cardinals 30.6
2014 Packers 30.4, Broncos 30.1
2013 Broncos 37.9
2012 Patriots 34.8, Broncos 30.1
2011 Packers 35.0, Saints, 34.2, Patriots, 32.1
2010 Patriots 32.4
Every one of those freakin’ teams made the playoffs. Every single one.
The Bucs should be able to average 30 points per game this season. That’s just 1 1/2 points more than last year, and Tom Brady’s done it three times and Bucco Bruce Arians did it once, too.
The evidence says 30 points per game gets you in the playoffs. And this year the NFL added one more playoff spot per conference.
Add this to the no-excuses bucket sitting on the desk of Arians.
September 3rd, 2020 at 9:48 am
I think you should subtract points the offense scored by the offense- for the other team from that number.
7 pick sixes- is -49 points over 16 games= -3.06
That would lower our points per game by 3. 06
Which fits more accurately into our final record.
September 3rd, 2020 at 10:35 am
When your qb gives the other team an average of 7.5 points per game off of his turnovers plus a kicker that is a complete head case, that’s a recipe for disaster.
You can pretty much say the Bucs spotted the other team 8.5 points per game last year.
September 3rd, 2020 at 11:01 am
I don’t think that scoring touchdowns will be a problem. Can we make extra points and field goals? Can our secondary be as good or better than they were at the end last year? For me the biggest fear is our kicker. Sorry Matt Gay but I hope Succup comes in and displays the form he had before his injury and gets the kicking job.
September 3rd, 2020 at 11:51 am
Look at the teams on that list that made the Super Bowl.
September 3rd, 2020 at 12:09 pm
That’s better. Saying to average 30 ppg game is more realistic than saying they must score 30 ppg. j/s
September 3rd, 2020 at 1:13 pm
Can I throw up now? Wait until he gets sacked.
September 3rd, 2020 at 1:17 pm
3 of those teams on that list were qb’ed by brady.
September 3rd, 2020 at 1:22 pm
How long will the old fossil last? Should be a good one.
September 3rd, 2020 at 1:32 pm
The Bucs secondary is unlikely to scare any DEFENSES (as you say) but they will be solid against OFFENSES. The defense will earn respect starting Game 1.
(Just letting the secondary know I got their backs.)
September 3rd, 2020 at 2:06 pm
Sly dont be so certain about that. Just imagine if this Winfield dude comes as advertised? Have you saw some of his highlight picks from college? Some of them plays were unreal.
I’m not saying he will be able to transition but if he does look out. When you got a safety like that roaming around the QB has to know where he is. It changes the way he reads the field. It makes the QB just a teeny bit less effective and it makes every other CB and DB that much better……..Its exciting to think about the possibility.
September 3rd, 2020 at 5:04 pm
Score 2 after every touchdown if the kicker messes up. We can pound it in now.