Strong Year From America Predicted
May 29th, 2018
Increase in key stat seen.
One NFL writer believes America’s Quarterback, Pro Bowler Jameis Winston, will have another strong season.
And in one key area, Jameis will have his best season as a pro.
This comes from a projection by Gary Davenport of Bleacher Report. He sees Jameis setting a personal season record for yards thrown. Below are Davenport’s statistical projections for Jameis.
Projected Passing Stats: 577 attempts, 352 completions, 4,335 yards, 26 touchdowns, 14 interceptions
The yards passing would be Jameis’ best in the NFL and a completion percentage of 61 percent would be his second best. The 14 picks would be three more than Jameis had last season.
Davenport did not project fumbles, one ugly bugaboo Jameis must cut down on.
May 29th, 2018 at 1:03 pm
Improvements on the OL will help cut down on the fumbles. As far as predicting a strong year from Winston, I’ll believe it when I see it. Early reports out of OTAs are that he’s still staring down receivers..
May 29th, 2018 at 1:11 pm
With all the weapons Winston has on the team—He should be VERY good !..No more excuses for his play ,either really good or move on
May 29th, 2018 at 1:11 pm
Stats are for losers. Only thing that matters is W and L’s. Hows he doing in that category????
May 29th, 2018 at 1:22 pm
Buddy, we’ll just have to wait and see. It;s a new year, he is healthy and the team is in great shape.
Remember, last year, he led the team from behind on multiple occasions…injured.
May 29th, 2018 at 1:23 pm
If those stats are in conjunction with a playoff berth, cool. I’d trade wins for stats EVERY day of the week.
May 29th, 2018 at 1:36 pm
I’d like to see more TDs (30+) if he’s over 4500 yards. Otherwise it means our red zone offense sucks again
May 29th, 2018 at 1:40 pm
Buddy
Jameis’ win loss total would look a lot better if McCoy and company could hold a lead or bother to show up in 4th qtr. But let’s not let facts get in the way
May 29th, 2018 at 1:41 pm
I actually thought his numbers was to low. I’m thinking in the 30 range. The int’s seem about right, but I think the TD’s will be higher especially if the running game becomes halfway respectable, and they can play more play action.
May 29th, 2018 at 1:42 pm
Jameis hatred.
Pure ignorance.
69 tds 11,636 yds in first three years.
perhaps the worst defense int the league had something to do with our record?
Nah, all Jameis.
May 29th, 2018 at 1:45 pm
RiaB- Yes, lets not let facts get in the way….cough….cough…..fumbles!
It’s a TEAM game brother!
EVERYBODY gets the blame when you’re 5-11, no exceptions!
May 29th, 2018 at 1:50 pm
#notmyquarterback
May 29th, 2018 at 1:51 pm
start fitz. give fitz 1st team practice reps as well. all these weapons we can dink and dunk our way to the SB. just use d jax for end around and water boy
May 29th, 2018 at 1:58 pm
Joe, honest question here: Will you still refer to Winston as “America’s Quarterback” next year if the Bucs have yet another losing season and miss the playoffs yet again? Because that would have meant four years of Winston as the Bucs QB with no postseason appearances.
Quite honestly, I can only think of one quarterback since the year 2000 who has gotten a 5th year to be their team’s starting quarterback after zero postseason appearances in the QB’s first 4 years with the team, and that would be David Carr who at least had a much better excuse for terrible supporting cast taking over an expansion team.
May 29th, 2018 at 1:58 pm
Hey Eric you forgot a few key points in your post.
To go along with the 69 TDs is 44 INTs
Along with 44 yes 44 fumbles. Wouldn’t want you to not show the whole story. And yeah those are all on James Winston.
May 29th, 2018 at 2:02 pm
TDs are low if we have the kind of offense we should……with a better defense, we should also get more opportunities to score.
Jameis needs a running game and a defense & he’ll bring us a championship.
May 29th, 2018 at 2:05 pm
Hey look, Trollmax conflated a post about JW into one about GMC’s supposed shortcomings. Conveniently forgetting the other 10 guys on defense as usual. Shocking. But honestly, nice job leader of the loser posters culture.
May 29th, 2018 at 2:07 pm
LC
I was thinking the same thing…..in dirks scheme, Winston should have over 30 TD’s…..
#NOEXCUSESIN2018!!!!…#PRESSURESONTHECOACHES!!!!….GO BUCS!!!!
May 29th, 2018 at 2:13 pm
Or…….
Worst: Retaining head coach Dirk Koetter
Tampa was reportedly in the running in the Jon Gruden sweepstakes but couldn’t match Mark Davis’ desire to reunite with his former coach in Oakland. Instead, the Bucs chose to retain Dirk Koetter despite a disappointing 5-11 season.
The team opted for familiarity in an important season for the development of QB Jameis Winston. While a defensible move, keeping Koetter for one more season may ultimately stunt the growth of their franchise signal caller.
May 29th, 2018 at 2:16 pm
@Bonzai … “Remember, last year, he led the team from behind on multiple occasions…injured.” Joe has you brain-washed Bonzai; that’s just another excuse. If you’re too injured to play well enough to win, get off the field & let someone else (Fitz in this case) do it. That’s what they pay backups for.
Jameis has shown steady growth in several areas (completion % & fewer INTs being 2 of them). But offensive output (pts/game) has stayed almost the same for 3 years now … 2017 (21.0 PPG); 2016 (22.1 PPG); 2015 (21.4 PPG). And pts/game is what it’s all about. People make all kinds of excuses, but fact remains that we’re not scoring enough. Case in point: back in 2012 under Greg Schiano (a defensive coach), our offense scored 24.3 pts/game … much better than this Bucs team has in the past 3 years. And with America’s QB at the helm & much better weapons these past 3 years.
That 2012 offense scored 389 points, more than any Bucs team since (we scored 335 last year, and 21 of those were scored by our defense). However, the 2012 Bucs defense also gave up 394 points & 6078 yds … MORE than last year’s Bucs defense gave up (382 points & 6049 yds). Pretty sad for a team headed by a defensive coach.
There’s one stat that tells a tale about Jameis (and the Bucs’ offense) that no one’s paying attention to IMO … SCORING PER QUARTER. People talk about his notoriously slow starts, but there are some misperceptions in there I think. In his 3 years here, here’s now the Bucs’ offense has performed by quarter by year:
1st Qtr: 2017 – #12 (4.5 PPQ); 2016 – #18 (4.1 PPQ); 2015 – #23 (3.6 PPQ)
2nd Qtr: 2017 – #31 (4.0 PPQ); 2016 – #21 (6.3 PPQ); 2015 – #12 (7.3 PPQ)
3rd Qtr: 2017 – #22 (3.6 PPQ); 2016 – #6 (6.2 PPQ); 2015 – #18 (4.6 PPQ)
4th Qtr: 2017 – #1 (8.9 PPQ); 2016 – #25 (5.5 PPQ); 2015 – #26 (5.6 PPQ)
Jameis has actually improved slightly in terms of 1st qtr production over his 3 years here, but has regressed significantly in Qtrs 2 & 3. However, in the 4th Qtr, he’s outta sight (#1 in the NFL … by quite a bit). Now all we have to figure out is what’s causing that regression in quarters 2 & 3.
May 29th, 2018 at 2:16 pm
Idc if JW ever gets any better. He is good as is. U can’t tell me u can’t win w JW numbers of last year.
May 29th, 2018 at 2:20 pm
All I can say is that if the Bucs can get a decent running game going and allow Winston to do what he does best, which is play/action, Winston is going to be very tough to stop.
May 29th, 2018 at 2:28 pm
Jameis has 31 total fumbles 15 fumbles lost. (44 simply not true.)
Brett Farve 33 total fumbles 13 fumbles lost his first 3 seasons he started.
Payton Manning had 58 Interecptions to Winston’s 44 in his first 3 seasons. Payton threw 22 in 4th year.
May 29th, 2018 at 2:29 pm
Defense Rules- How dare you use stats to bolster your negative argument of “America”!!!! That’s akin to treason in these here parts!
May 29th, 2018 at 3:05 pm
Lots of pro and con stats with Jameis Winston, but should the Glazers fork over the loot and devote a significant portion of the team’s salary to pay him $30+ million per year? Has Jameis Winston done enough to make him the highest paid QB (and player) in the league? The Glazers will have to weigh the cost of paying him versus starting over. It’s going to be an interesting year! Go Bucs!
May 29th, 2018 at 3:19 pm
We have some idiotic fans.
Jamies is the best QB the franchise has ever had, so let’s get rid of him.
May 29th, 2018 at 3:19 pm
@Bucsfanman … “Defense Rules- How dare you use stats to bolster your negative argument of “America”!!!! That’s akin to treason in these here parts!”
Au contraire Bucsfanman, I’m actually one of Jameis’ biggest supporters. Tremendous potential, but right now he’s lacking C-O-N-S-I-S-T-E-N-C-Y. That, more than anything else, is what that Points per Quarter analysis shows. The big question is ‘Why is he so inconsistent?’
My personal belief is that, more than anything else, it’s coaching. Yes, mediocre OLine performance has had an impact, as has lack of a running game. But over the 3 years, the one constant has been Dirk Koetter. That Points/Game output (21 – 22 PPG over 3 years) is as much a reflection on his game strategies & play-calling as it is a reflection on Jameis’ play execution.
Bucs right now have the best talent level they’ve had in years. There are only 2 reasons this team can’t make it to the playoffs, even with a very tough schedule and in the toughest division in football: Coaching & Jameis. And the two are intertwined to such a degree that they can’t be fairly evaluated one from another IMO. One is dependent on the other, just like Belicheck & Brady or Payton & Brees.
May 29th, 2018 at 3:42 pm
Money on the line. Jamies will come thru
May 29th, 2018 at 3:47 pm
Love the commenters above who are already talking about “moving on” from Winston.
Crazy.
Based on his per game numbers he average last season after and before he was injured (approximately 8 games) – the above numbers seem low. One could argue an improved defense and running game will limit pass attempts.
Expect Winston to be closer to 64% and 4600 yards and 30 TDs if he plays a complete season.
May 29th, 2018 at 3:47 pm
Love the commenters above who are already talking about “moving on” from Winston.
Crazy.
Based on his per game numbers he average last season after and before he was injured (approximately 8 games) – the above numbers seem low. One could argue an improved defense and running game will limit pass attempts.
Expect Winston to be closer to 64% and 4600 yards and 30 TDs if he plays a complete season.
May 29th, 2018 at 3:50 pm
Defense Rules- I agree about consistency. He also needs to work in other areas as well.
I was just being sarcastic because according to some posters, Jameis is a HOF’er with no flaws to his game.
May 29th, 2018 at 4:08 pm
Wondering what Jameis’ numbers and w’s and L’s would look like so far if we got a phenomenal offensive HC his rookie year.
Lots of the offensive side of the ball is on coaches, especially for a 24 year old QB coming into his fourth year.
NO PLAYOFFS=24/7 SEARCH FOR THE ULTIMATE COACHING STAFF.
BUCKNER=DC
May 29th, 2018 at 5:22 pm
Lets face it guys. The offensive coaching straight up blows.
All the pieces we have on offense yet they look like garbage half the time. Unless we are playing the 85 Bears there is no excuse on earth that explains 3 freaking points at haltime…….. Lets not pretend this is something new with Dirks offense. This offense is notorious for coming out flat. Same thing with the redzone antics. Dirks offense has been a complete and utter failure…….Not even onna mention the other side of the ball that had NFL players on record laughing at and mocking them. I laugh too, they are a joke.
I know this sounds mean but its the truth and its where we are at. Dont shoot the messenger
May 29th, 2018 at 6:00 pm
I agree that Jameis is going to have a “career” year. But I’m not referring to his numbers but rather the teams W’s at the end of the year.
Several things need to fall into place for us besides #3 for us to really compete.
I still feel a question or two about our OL. We could be mediocre or we might actually find one more player and become pretty good.
But the most important ingredient for Jameis….is ROJO. If he’s the real deal…we won’t have to depend on St Jameis to save us every game…we’ll win some games with a well executed balanced offense that doesn’t require miracles from the QB.
So I was watching highlights in the gym today….Leveon Bell…not saying ROJO will be the next Bell…just saying he has a similar skill set and style. If ROJO can bring his game up to the NFL and play as well as he did at USC…Jameis is going to have a great year!!! Koetter is going to have a great year!!! Even Smitty will have a great year. If ROJO blows up we’re all going to have a great year.
May 29th, 2018 at 6:04 pm
Jameis is a good young QB…it baffles me the people who believe he’s the problem… I think this year he’ll finally put the haters to rest
May 29th, 2018 at 6:17 pm
JJ
Always respect your opinion but we may differ a bit here. I don’t defend anything about 2017…no players…no coaches…but I don’t judge their entire talent or careers based on last year’s horror story.
So in the case of Koetter’s offense. If ROJO is the real deal…you may finally get to actually see Koetter’s offense. He really hasn’t had the talent required for HIS offense…a RUNNING BACK. Sorry Doug Martin fans but he just didn’t cut it.
In his first year in the NFL, DK had immediate success setting franchise records for total points scored and yards gained while helping the Jaguars to an 11–5 record. In his five seasons with the Jaguars, the team cumulatively ranked third in the NFL in rushing yards over that time span in addition to having the NFL’s leading rusher in Maurice Jones-Drew in 2010.
So some will defend DK saying when he has the talent his offense worked…others who hate him already would probably say…well he might have used to be a good coach but he’s lost his touch and needs to retire.
I come down on letting this year determine his fate. Last year was the very FIRST year we had all the #weaponsforWinston but we still lacked a running game. DK’s offense doesn’t function well without the right RB. He did well in Jax with MJD and in Atlanta with Michael Turner.
May 29th, 2018 at 6:58 pm
It will take a much better Bucs team to make a very average QB look much better. OR Jameis will just keep racking up garbage time yards that look so good on the stat line
May 29th, 2018 at 9:49 pm
Stpete,
Excellent points. DK offense the run game is primary the pass game works off of it. The offensive scheme is not pass first . So it’s hard to put this on DK when clearly JW can’t be successful passing more.
May 29th, 2018 at 9:54 pm
The defense gave up pretty much the same number of points the last 3 years. We gave up the same number of points as the number 3 defense (Denver) this past year.
Weapons for Winston equated to 20 ppg avg. (after removing defensive scores). The opportunities to score were definitely there, but overthrown/poorly thrown balls that would have been clear touchdown and poorly timed fumbles/interceptions killed them. That’s why we didn’t score; not coaching, not offensive line, not running game, not all the BS excuses you homers invent. Poor QB execution simple and plain.
May 30th, 2018 at 12:01 am
Assuming he’s healthy all year and his shoulder is back to normal I’d expect something more like, 4600 yards, 33 TDs 12 INTs.