Jameis Just Average (Vs. Blitz)
December 24th, 2015
Jameis vs. the blitz.
Joe’s not much of a stat guy. Regular readers know that. Oh, stats can be good, sure. They can be eye-opening and enlightening when used within reason.
The problem comes when folks twist made-up stats to back up previously held convictions (a decades-old political trick). This is where Joe and the Pro Football Focus crowd come to loggerheads (and don’t get Joe started on the baseball geeks who have hijacked the sport).
One guy who dabbles in often enlightening numbers is Thomas Bassinger of the Tampa Bay Times. He took a peek at how America’s Quarterback, Bucs signal-caller Jameis Winston, fares against the blitz.
Basically, Bassinger notes, Jameis is just average against the blitz and has been consistently through 14 games.
@tometrics: Based on my charting, Rams blitzed Winston on about 70% of his pass attempts in first three quarters. Completed 50% of those passes. … When Rams rushed four or fewer in the fourth quarter, Winston was 14-of-19 for 179 yards, 2 TDs, 1 INT. … Overall, Winston was 12/24 for 170 yds when Rams rushed 5+. Right in line with his completion percentage vs. blitzes before the game.
So this is easy to compute and likely holds true for most quarterbacks not named Tom Brady or Aaron Rodgers. If you blitz the quarterback, then you have a better chance of getting your defense off the field, or forcing the quarterback into an unfortunate throw.
What this also reminds Joe is that Jameis is a rookie. If he is completing half of his passes against the blitz in his first season, then that should only improve.
December 24th, 2015 at 12:41 pm
For a rookie, he was stellar. I think, if his receivers hadn’t dropped so many passes, his numbers would be drastically different.
December 24th, 2015 at 12:50 pm
I think there are several things at play here……
Playcalling…..ability to change plays
Pressure allowed by the Oline & blitz pickups
Receivers not getting separation and dropping passes
Rare short passing routes
Winston being a rookie
Winston not taking sacks
He and all these other factors should improve
December 24th, 2015 at 12:55 pm
The needle is definitely pointing up in the quest for the Bucs to become relevant again. It’s that long offseason that is hard to get through with the anticipation to go at it again.
December 24th, 2015 at 1:02 pm
“As Joe’s readers know, he’s not much of a stat guy. Oh, stats can be good, sure”.
Shouldn’t the next sentence read:
‘Unless Joe is trying to use those stats to make GMC sound much better than he actually is”.
December 24th, 2015 at 1:08 pm
The GMC hate is tired man! Go root for another football team if you don’t like our players. Sorry if real fans actually like the players on their team! Get over it. Man that’s annoying!
Yeah Joe, I agree that this is a non-issue. He’s a rookie, end of story.
December 24th, 2015 at 1:32 pm
Let Glennon start the next 2 games to show Jameis how to play good. His numbers are towards the bottom and needs to sit and learn from a real pro.
December 24th, 2015 at 1:43 pm
@Bucfanman
I’m tired of it too…..Everyone is entitled to an opinion….but it seems like some of these posters are the types that would complain about their parents….siblings, children and spouses to others…..nothing but negative.
…especially when it’s probably them that need to look in a mirror.
Would I like to see improvement with all our players…..hell yes….but to constantly whine about and denigrate them is pathetic.
December 24th, 2015 at 3:10 pm
Yep…let’s sit the rookie that won 6 games this year so he can learn from the veteran that won 1 game last year. I thought the Glennon Mob was just a faded memory.
December 24th, 2015 at 3:28 pm
Whether you like what is being said about GMC or not, the criticism is well deserved. GMC has been hurt every year he has been in the league. When you factor in the play of Aaron Donald, GMC is a huge disappointment. GMC has not had an impact on one game the Bucs have played this season. Kwon Alexander has… The answer is for GMC to play better. Lovie Smith did not buy into GMC excuse about being hurt which leaves hope for me that a possible trade could be on the table. All of the GMC supporter vigerously proclaims GMC greatness, but they cannot state one thing that he has done that is note worth. I still waiting for Joe’s article with support fact that demonstrates McCoy’s greatness. That will not happened. Joe has to much integrity to write such an article.
December 24th, 2015 at 4:31 pm
Get the f@ck outta here calling 4 glennon.the only way I can c that as a viable option is if we think he can light it up. To raise his trade stock and get a better draft pick 4 him.
December 24th, 2015 at 5:17 pm
@loggedon…
GMC is the best DT. Stats, you want? Ok, simple stat., he’s been hurt every year right? Paced on IR at least 2xs. he’s damn near lost an entire season and yet leads the league in sacks for a DT since he came in. Think about that…LOL it’s as simple as that
December 25th, 2015 at 12:29 am
There has been quite a few 3rd down drops this year. I think Winston has been better against the blitz than what the numbers say.
December 25th, 2015 at 1:41 am
@loggedon – “GMC has not had an impact on one game the Bucs have played this season”. The first Altlanta Falcons game. In overtime on 4th down GMC got a hold of Matty Ice’s leg and refused to let go. Incomplete pass, Bucs win. Remember that game? The one during the coin toss before OT where McCoy looked disinterested in the result? Little did we know then about his shoulder injury and that he was simply in pain. Everyone instantly jumped to conclusions that McCoy was a terrible leader, had a bad attitude and was acting immature. He was just being himself, playing through an injury and pain. McCoy is still one of the top two, three tech DL in the league and there is only one other I would trade him for.